Tradesense (a.k.a.Horse Sense)

This Blog was launched on 9th October 2008 just after the beginning of the worst financial crises the world is witnessing and fear seems to be reaching its peak.

Sixthsense investing appears to be the need of the time!! The intention is tickle it every week.


Friday, January 9, 2009

Market Impact: 2009 Watch List – Part 8

What are US Tips and Treasury yield spreads indicating?

By subtracting the yield of TIPS (Treasury Inflation Protected Securities) of a particular maturity from the yield of an ordinary Treasury note/bond of the same maturity, you obtain the implied annualized inflation over the time to maturity.

Treasury Yield Curve (%)

Source: www.treasury.gov


As seen above the market is indicating a deflationary picture over the next five years. As of 5th January this expectation was over a 7 year period. How this expectation changes over 2009 will be interesting to monitor.

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